I set great score by the accuracy of the material presented in my Blog. A single source of information is not enough.
The level set is that of a Jury; Does the material meet the standard of "Beyond Reasonable Doubt". Because the material is so far beyond what a person is exposed to the standard is higher. You can perform the checks & balances yourself. I hope you will as your life and the future of the Human Race hangs in the balance.
We live in a time that might occur once in 25,000 Years.

Tuesday, October 5, 2010

25 nations have deliberately slashed the values of their currencies

We have had pure "Fiat" Money since 1971 when Nixon took America off the Gold Standard, enabling the Boom Bust cycles that have enabled the Super Rich to exit the door first and taking the profits; before 'Joe Sixpack' has a chance to get out of falling markets.

Now the action is in trading and debasing currency in order to shave Billions of the top as they circle the planet manipulating the money we use and have an almost reigious belief in its value.

Take out a paper note and have a look at it. Its Paper and its only value exists in the shadow world of Global Banking. Japan is probably the most exposed to a disaster of a proportion that will start the Domminoes falling. Without a Gold or other 'Real' asset behind it, that paper money is simply paper. If I tried to exchange an ounce of Silver for $22 (USD) what would you say ? 

Simply put the value of the number in your Saving Account is more real to you than an equivelent amount of Gold. Its built into the mind from a very young age; the reality is very different. A bout of Inflation of 7% would evaporate the value of your money in less than 10 years it would be worthless. Inflation is a Tax you are forced to pay, the only way around it we are told is invest it in a Bank, Stock or Bond. 

In the next few years there will be a 'Run' on the US Dollar, a prelude to this will probably be the upcoming crisis in Japan. Japan is in debt to the tune of 200% of GDP. In other words they are Bankrupt as is the UK and the United States. 

Who falls first? My bet is Japan, the article below is from King World News. As with anything important to your survival you should research for yourself and get some Insurance. Gold has a long way up yet to go. As currency becomes visible for what it is (Worthless Paper) the race for hard assets will be on. The 40 year experiment with funny money is nearly over and its a disaster. 

September 28, 2010

September 28 (King World News) - Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Sailor, Rich Man, Poor Man, Beggar Man........Thief 

Within a single week 25 nations have deliberately slashed the values of their currencies.   Nothing quite comparable with this has ever happened before in the history of the world.   This world monetary earthquake will carry many lessons.”

Globally GDP has been anaemic since the crisis first arose in 2007.  The inevitable conclusion of most countries today is that the best way to extricate themselves from the current mess is to shift effective demand away from imports onto domestically produced goods.   The preferred method is competitive currency devaluations.   

Unfortunately this is not possible for all, and leads to friction as countries effectively steal other nations output to bolster their own.   Plato and Aristotle referred to this as 'overgrazing', the ‘tragedy of the commons’.  Nothing changes.   This always leads to heightened tensions and conditions of capital controls and other protectionist behaviour such as punitive tariffs and quotas on imports often prevail.   Friedman's flat world aside - it is already happening. 

To maintain the last decade of prosperity (illusion) countries are systematically hell bent on exporting themselves to economic health.   This is a zero sum game.  Not all countries can export at the same time by definition that the global balance of payments will not then balance.   For one winner there is a loser.   The implication on import prices is dramatic.   Inflation is imported or exported depending on your view point around the world.   Let's rephrase 'inflation' - global citizens will experience a rise in the value of goods due to creation of more money used to devalue their currency.   

The pursuit of mercantilist traditions may help alleviate the collapse in output for some, and the ensuing rise in goods prices may help government reduce the value of their debts; but at what costs? Increased international tensions and let's not forget the internal social unrest that is accompanied by citizens whose wages have not kept abreast of these rising prices.   

As the traditional English folk tune rhymes Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Sailor, Rich Man, Poor Man, Beggar Man........Thief.   Rich or poor, you beg from your neighbour there is no two ways about it in the world of current accounts - you are a thief.   

It is politically more savoury to expropriate the output from another country, unfortunately this will be at the loss of the majority.

Within a single week 25 nations have deliberately slashed the values of their currencies.   Nothing quite comparable with this has ever happened before in the history of the world.   This world monetary earthquake will carry many lessons.

Henry Hazlitt 1948 wrote this in a book "From Bretton Woods to World Inflation", which predicted the inevitable collapse of this fixed exchange rate mechanism.   It was a compilation of his editorials from both his time at the New York Times and Newsweek, which ridiculed the prevailing economic Keynesian thinking to great effect.   A brilliant journalist, economists and liberal philosopher, this man intuitively understood the pernicious nature of the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate arranged in 1944. 

Murmurings of such 'beggar-thy-neighbour' currency devaluations have once again sprung up amongst the financial literati and rightly so.   Better late than never.   The truth be told is that we have been living in a highly unstable world even more so than under BW I.   The dollar pegs, primarily the Asian renminbi dollar semi-fixed exchange rate, what most refer to as Bretton Woods II, have (arguably) been responsible for the financial friction we observe today. 

The RMB and US dollar are constantly colliding into each other. The clashing of these two tectonic currency plates has just begun to accelerate at an alarming rate.   Ironically the move to greater currency flexibility on the part of the RMB against the dollar stands ready to produce the almighty mother of seismic monetary events - the collapse of the fiat currency system.   The implications for government bonds, equities and real assets are profound.   Are we being overly sensational? We don't think so.

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